All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
157 | |
122 |
146 |
152 |
162 |
157 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
122 |
146 |
152 |
162 |
157 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| 5 |
Macey Thompson |
10 |
18:11 |
20:37 |
17:59 |
18:16 |
17:59 |
18:05 |
18:32 |
| 16 |
Chloe Neal |
10 |
18:37 |
19:15 |
18:23 |
18:27 |
18:37 |
18:37 |
18:34 |
| 29 |
Lana Bruggeman |
9 |
18:54 |
|
18:30 |
18:52 |
19:07 |
18:54 |
18:51 |
| 95 |
Aubrey Neal |
9 |
19:41 |
|
19:27 |
19:43 |
19:29 |
19:48 |
19:49 |
| 168 |
Roxann Martinez |
9 |
20:14 |
|
20:01 |
20:01 |
20:57 |
20:17 |
20:03 |
| 183 |
Mackenzie Smith |
12 |
20:22 |
20:29 |
20:30 |
20:03 |
20:12 |
20:19 |
20:31 |
| 222 |
Brigid Crowley |
10 |
20:33 |
19:47 |
20:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 272 |
Anna Domingo |
9 |
20:44 |
|
20:30 |
20:29 |
20:30 |
21:01 |
21:14 |
| 473 |
Katelyn Smith |
9 |
21:29 |
|
|
21:09 |
22:23 |
21:32 |
21:11 |
| 618 |
Essey Gonzalez |
12 |
21:54 |
22:10 |
21:53 |
21:54 |
21:49 |
21:55 |
21:38 |
| 681 |
Marina Negrete |
9 |
22:03 |
|
22:36 |
22:26 |
22:05 |
21:39 |
21:25 |
| 814 |
Alexis Bonchik |
10 |
22:26 |
22:30 |
22:17 |
21:51 |
22:54 |
|
23:58 |
| 841 |
Alexa Neal |
9 |
22:30 |
|
|
21:55 |
22:39 |
|
22:43 |
| 964 |
Izzy Groszek |
10 |
22:48 |
23:10 |
|
22:30 |
22:49 |
|
|
| 1,099 |
Sophie Quiroga |
10 |
23:09 |
23:08 |
22:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,159 |
Addison Blair |
11 |
23:15 |
|
|
23:01 |
23:22 |
|
23:13 |
| 1,188 |
Jessica Lopez |
12 |
23:21 |
|
|
23:01 |
23:27 |
|
23:24 |
|
Madison Poortenga |
11 |
23:43 |
22:04 |
|
23:44 |
23:36 |
|
24:09 |
|
Anna Brumm |
9 |
23:43 |
|
|
23:38 |
23:49 |
|
23:36 |
|
Maddie Underwood |
9 |
23:44 |
|
|
23:37 |
|
|
23:46 |
|
Daniela Ley |
10 |
24:22 |
24:15 |
|
24:17 |
24:16 |
|
24:37 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.3 |
187 |
1.9 |
15.6 |
21.7 |
22.3 |
15.5 |
10.9 |
6.4 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
60 |
95.1 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
23 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Macey Thompson |
100% |
5.8 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
4.5 |
10.4 |
21.5 |
15.6 |
11.2 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Chloe Neal |
100% |
16.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Lana Bruggeman |
100% |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Neal |
100% |
95.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
95.0% |
| Roxann Martinez |
100% |
154.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33.3% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
166.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.8% |
| Brigid Crowley |
100% |
186.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Macey Thompson |
100% |
1.0 |
67.9 |
21.6 |
8.1 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Chloe Neal |
100% |
3.2 |
1.9 |
18.0 |
24.8 |
27.2 |
19.0 |
6.3 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lana Bruggeman |
100% |
5.3 |
|
1.2 |
4.9 |
12.4 |
22.6 |
32.8 |
13.0 |
5.9 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Neal |
100% |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Roxann Martinez |
100% |
34.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
39.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Brigid Crowley |
100% |
47.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Macey Thompson |
1.0 |
96.5 |
3.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chloe Neal |
1.6 |
3.3 |
83.0 |
13.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lana Bruggeman |
2.5 |
0.1 |
12.0 |
76.1 |
9.6 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aubrey Neal |
5.9 |
|
|
|
9.5 |
17.8 |
24.7 |
22.0 |
12.8 |
7.2 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Roxann Martinez |
10.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
7.4 |
10.8 |
15.0 |
18.5 |
16.7 |
10.9 |
7.9 |
4.6 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Smith |
12.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
12.5 |
16.5 |
17.4 |
12.7 |
9.4 |
6.2 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Brigid Crowley |
14.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
4.8 |
8.1 |
12.3 |
16.0 |
16.3 |
13.7 |
11.2 |
7.8 |
3.8 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
