Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #3
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Highland Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 85.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Highland Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 147 131 149 152 171 162 151 755 150 181 180 133
Team Adjusted Rating 131 149 152 171 162 151 147 150 181 180 133
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Highland Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Macey Thompson 10 17:59 20:37 18:02 18:16 17:59 18:08 18:33 18:01 17:43 18:09 17:55 17:57
18  Lana Bruggeman 9 18:35 18:33 18:53 19:08 18:58 18:53 18:41 18:44 18:56 18:35 18:28
27  Chloe Neal 10 18:44 19:15 18:26 18:27 18:37 18:40 18:36 18:48 19:01 19:11 19:03 18:36
83  Aubrey Neal 9 19:30 19:31 19:44 19:29 19:52 19:51 19:50 19:33 19:46 20:05 19:22
194  Mackenzie Smith 12 20:23 20:29 20:34 20:03 20:13 20:23 20:33 20:02 20:32 20:24 20:26 20:18
212  Roxann Martinez 9 20:29 20:05 20:02 20:57 20:21 20:05 20:17 20:10 20:45 20:50 20:38
305  Anna Domingo 9 20:51 20:34 20:29 20:30 21:05 21:16 22:27
317  Brigid Crowley 10 20:55 19:47 20:53
458  Katelyn Smith 9 21:28 21:09 22:23 21:37 21:13 21:13 21:03 21:26 21:23 21:53
513  Marina Negrete 9 21:37 22:41 22:27 22:06 21:44 21:27 21:31 21:11 21:28 21:17
688  Essey Gonzalez 12 22:03 22:10 21:57 21:55 21:49 22:00 21:41 22:13 22:02 22:23
790  Alexa Neal 9 22:17 21:55 22:39 22:46 22:40 21:56 21:55
798  Izzy Groszek 10 22:18 23:10 22:31 22:50 21:37
937  Tara Schassburger 12 22:38 23:11 22:31 22:33 22:40
976  Alexis Bonchik 10 22:43 22:30 22:22 21:52 22:54 24:01 22:49 22:10 22:51
1,207  Addison Blair 11 23:15 23:02 23:22 23:17 22:53 23:17 23:20
1,237  Maddie Underwood 9 23:20 23:38 23:50 23:19 23:08 22:56
Sophie Quiroga 10 23:33 23:08 23:04 23:35 23:37
Jessica Lopez 12 23:33 23:02 23:28 23:28 24:10 23:21
Ireland Bonilla 10 24:00 24:15 24:08 26:28 23:51 23:26 24:18
Daniela Ley 10 24:03 24:15 24:18 24:16 24:41 23:47 23:35 23:52
Anna Brumm 9 24:06 23:39 23:49 23:41 24:21 24:13 24:19
Jordan Johnson 9 24:11 23:57 24:36 24:18 24:36 23:19
Madison Poortenga 11 24:12 22:04 23:45 23:37 24:14 24:26 24:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 4.1 185 0.9 7.8 29.8 30.7 15.7 7.7 3.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 63 91.7 8.1 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Macey Thompson 100% 4.7 1.5 7.2 12.8 16.6 17.7 15.0 10.2 5.6 3.7 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lana Bruggeman 100% 18.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.4 2.9 3.6 3.5 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.6 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.8 3.3 2.9 100.0%
Chloe Neal 100% 23.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.3 4.1 4.3 3.8 4.3 3.6 3.8 3.6 4.0 100.0%
Aubrey Neal 100% 80.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 98.4%
Mackenzie Smith 100% 172.3 14.4%
Roxann Martinez 100% 180.5 7.8%
Katelyn Smith 100% 230.6 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Macey Thompson 100% 1.0 75.6 18.7 4.4 1.2 0.0 100.0%
Lana Bruggeman 100% 3.9 0.3 8.4 18.9 24.3 25.5 14.6 5.0 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Chloe Neal 100% 5.1 0.1 2.2 7.4 15.2 22.9 28.7 13.1 6.0 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Aubrey Neal 100% 13.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.7 6.1 7.4 7.7 8.3 7.9 7.5 6.7 6.6 6.3 5.1 4.8 4.5 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.0 1.4 100.0%
Mackenzie Smith 100% 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 100.0%
Roxann Martinez 100% 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Katelyn Smith 100% 86.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Macey Thompson 1.0 99.4 0.6
Lana Bruggeman 1.7 0.6 71.5 27.3 0.6 0.0
Chloe Neal 2.3 0.0 27.0 69.4 3.1 0.3 0.1
Aubrey Neal 4.8 0.0 27.2 27.5 19.7 12.7 7.4 4.0 1.5 0.1 0.0
Mackenzie Smith 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.6 5.7 13.8 24.3 21.4 15.4 8.8 4.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Roxann Martinez 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.9 7.8 16.5 23.3 19.9 15.4 8.1 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Katelyn Smith 20.3 0.1 0.2 1.0 4.7 8.5 10.3 11.5 10.5 10.2 8.4 6.9 6.3 4.6